Market icon

Who will Trump announce as next Fed Chair?

$973,146 Vol.

No announcement by December 31 36%

Kevin Hassett 20.6%

Scott Bessent 20%

Kevin Warsh 18.4%

MayJunJul0%20%40%60%80%

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

36%

21%

20%

18%

6%

1%

<1%

<1%

<1%

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<1%

Who will Trump announce as next Fed Chair?

Rules

Trump's Treasury Secretary pick Scott Bessent has floated the idea of Trump naming a successor to Jerome Powell to serve as a "shadow chair", prior to the end of Powell's term, scheduled for May 2026. (see: https://www.nbcwashington.com/news/business/money-report/fed-chair-jerome-powell-can-serve-remainder-of-term-says-trumps-treasury-pick-bessent/3788991/).

This market will resolve to according the individual Donald Trump announces as his pick for the next Federal Reserve Chair. If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next Federal Reserve Chair by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No announcement by December 31".

The resolution source for this market will be official information form Donald Trump or one of his official representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Volume

$973,146

End Date

Dec 31, 2025

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TheOneB

7d ago

why would Trump announce the replacement 5 months in advance?

jumbocore

10d ago

Please add Pulte as option

Arbguy

12d ago

Bessent is also very well respected. He likely does respect Fed independence, which might hurt his chances!

efesis

12d ago

Don't bet on this site. It's all a scam. Despite many entities, including an official Polymarket account, declaring it a suit, it still seems as though the market may resolve to claim that 'No." https://protos.com/zelenskyy-suit-polymarket-dispute/

mikwow

16d ago

David Malpass should be a candidate

x369

x369

16d ago

Fed chair Scott disick

perseo

perseo

17d ago

WSJ reported Donald Trump is considering naming an early replacement for Jerome Powell

mikwow

22d ago

You should add Fed Governor Waller as a candidate

popolsku

29d ago

@popolsku

Yeah, very old. The most recent and most personal relationship to Trump is Scott Bessent.

popolsku

26d ago

@Educatedgues...

It's not about personal relationship. It's about restoring gold standard. That's why he's going to choose Judy Shelton.

@popolsku

My guess is Judy’s out of the game, in regards to Gold standard, from what i can tell Bessent has been working closely with the administration on Bitcoin (standard)

J00zDid9II

3mo ago

Seat is up May 2026, market ends Dec 31. Language for this is so sketch. Polymarket has gotten so trashy and manipulated.

@J00zDid9II

This market is about Trump announcing the replacement, pretty straightforward.

Gena🐊

Gena🐊

3mo ago

Ron Paul Stop playing politics and lower interest rates NOW! 🤣🤣

Gena🐊

Gena🐊

3mo ago

@Gena🐊

PAUL MONETIZE the DEBT NOW!