Who will Trump announce as next Fed Chair?
$230,010 Vol.
Dec 31, 2025
Chris Waller 31%
Kevin Warsh 20.8%
No announcement by December 31 13%
Kevin Hassett 14.1%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
Kevin Warsh
Generating...
Explain
$140,188 Vol.
21%
Buy Yes 23.1¢
Buy No 81.5¢
No announcement by December 31
Generating...
Explain
$27,988 Vol.
13%
Buy Yes 19¢
Buy No 93¢
Kevin Hassett
Generating...
Explain
$18,691 Vol.
14%
Buy Yes 14.1¢
Buy No 86.0¢
Judy Shelton
Generating...
Explain
$9,337 Vol.
11%
Buy Yes 12.0¢
Buy No 89.4¢
Scott Bessent
Generating...
Explain
$9,019 Vol.
10%
Buy Yes 12¢
Buy No 92¢
Howard Lutnick
Generating...
Explain
$3,082 Vol.
1%
Buy Yes 0.6¢
Buy No 99.6¢
Larry Kudlow
Generating...
Explain
$3,392 Vol.
<1%
Buy Yes 0.6¢
Buy No 99.8¢
Elon Musk
Generating...
Explain
$3,025 Vol.
<1%
Buy Yes 0.5¢
Buy No 99.7¢
Arthur Laffer
Generating...
Explain
$5,742 Vol.
<1%
Buy Yes 0.4¢
Buy No 99.7¢
Ron Paul
Generating...
Explain
$4,820 Vol.
<1%
Buy Yes 0.3¢
Buy No 99.8¢
Chamath Palihapitiya
Generating...
Explain
$3,332 Vol.
<1%
Buy Yes 0.3¢
Buy No 99.8¢
Market Context
Who will Trump announce as next Fed Chair?
Generate
Rules
Trump's Treasury Secretary pick Scott Bessent has floated the idea of Trump naming a successor to Jerome Powell to serve as a "shadow chair", prior to the end of Powell's term, scheduled for May 2026. (see: https://www.nbcwashington.com/news/business/money-report/fed-chair-jerome-powell-can-serve-remainder-of-term-says-trumps-treasury-pick-bessent/3788991/).
This market will resolve to according the individual Donald Trump announces as his pick for the next Federal Reserve Chair. If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next Federal Reserve Chair by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No announcement by December 31".
The resolution source for this market will be official information form Donald Trump or one of his official representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to according the individual Donald Trump announces as his pick for the next Federal Reserve Chair. If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next Federal Reserve Chair by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No announcement by December 31".
The resolution source for this market will be official information form Donald Trump or one of his official representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$230,010
End Date
Dec 31, 2025
Resolver
0x2F5e3684cb...Comments (11)
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0
Educatedguess
10d ago
Yeah, very old. The most recent and most personal relationship to Trump is Scott Bessent.
0
Educatedguess
13d ago
Bloomberg Breaking: Bessent top contender to replace Powell https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-06-10/bessent-emerges-as-possible-contender-to-succeed-fed-s-powell
0
Educatedguess
7d ago
My guess is Judy’s out of the game, in regards to Gold standard, from what i can tell Bessent has been working closely with the administration on Bitcoin (standard)
0

J00zDid9II
2mo ago
Seat is up May 2026, market ends Dec 31. Language for this is so sketch. Polymarket has gotten so trashy and manipulated.
3

Chris Waller
Market
Amount
$
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