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Who will Trump announce as next Fed Chair?

$230,010 Vol.

Dec 31, 2025

Chris Waller 31%

Kevin Warsh 20.8%

No announcement by December 31 13%

Kevin Hassett 14.1%

MayJun0%20%40%60%80%

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

$1,395 Vol.

31%

Buy Yes 41¢
Buy No 80¢

$140,188 Vol.

21%

Buy Yes 23.1¢
Buy No 81.5¢

$27,988 Vol.

13%

Buy Yes 19¢
Buy No 93¢

$18,691 Vol.

14%

Buy Yes 14.1¢
Buy No 86.0¢

$9,337 Vol.

11%

Buy Yes 12.0¢
Buy No 89.4¢

$9,019 Vol.

10%

Buy Yes 12¢
Buy No 92¢

$3,082 Vol.

1%

Buy Yes 0.6¢
Buy No 99.6¢

$3,392 Vol.

<1%

Buy Yes 0.6¢
Buy No 99.8¢

$3,025 Vol.

<1%

Buy Yes 0.5¢
Buy No 99.7¢

$5,742 Vol.

<1%

Buy Yes 0.4¢
Buy No 99.7¢

$4,820 Vol.

<1%

Buy Yes 0.3¢
Buy No 99.8¢

$3,332 Vol.

<1%

Buy Yes 0.3¢
Buy No 99.8¢

Who will Trump announce as next Fed Chair?

Rules

Trump's Treasury Secretary pick Scott Bessent has floated the idea of Trump naming a successor to Jerome Powell to serve as a "shadow chair", prior to the end of Powell's term, scheduled for May 2026. (see: https://www.nbcwashington.com/news/business/money-report/fed-chair-jerome-powell-can-serve-remainder-of-term-says-trumps-treasury-pick-bessent/3788991/).

This market will resolve to according the individual Donald Trump announces as his pick for the next Federal Reserve Chair. If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next Federal Reserve Chair by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No announcement by December 31".

The resolution source for this market will be official information form Donald Trump or one of his official representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Volume

$230,010

End Date

Dec 31, 2025

Comments (11)
Top Holders
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Beware of external links, they may be phishing attacks.

mikwow

4d ago

You should add Fed Governor Waller as a candidate

popolsku

11d ago

@popolsku

Yeah, very old. The most recent and most personal relationship to Trump is Scott Bessent.

popolsku

8d ago

@Educatedgues...

It's not about personal relationship. It's about restoring gold standard. That's why he's going to choose Judy Shelton.

@popolsku

My guess is Judy’s out of the game, in regards to Gold standard, from what i can tell Bessent has been working closely with the administration on Bitcoin (standard)

Euan

Euan

14d ago

How dare they not have bessent I would’ve got that click

frosen

frosen

14d ago

@Euan

They do now!

J00zDid9II

2mo ago

Seat is up May 2026, market ends Dec 31. Language for this is so sketch. Polymarket has gotten so trashy and manipulated.

@J00zDid9II

This market is about Trump announcing the replacement, pretty straightforward.

Gena🐊

Gena🐊

2mo ago

Ron Paul Stop playing politics and lower interest rates NOW! 🤣🤣

Gena🐊

Gena🐊

2mo ago

@Gena🐊

PAUL MONETIZE the DEBT NOW!

Market icon

Chris Waller

Amount

$