Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?

$2,642,800 Vol.

Sep 30

Dec 31

Mar 31

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Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?

Rules

Additional context

Updated Apr 19

On April 19, Vladimir Putin announced that “guided by humanitarian considerations, today from 18:00 to 00:00 from Sunday to Monday, the Russian side declares an Easter truce”. Per the rules, "humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market". Thus, an 'Easter truce’, as it has been widely reported, will not qualify, even if reciprocated by Ukraine. An extension of a humanitarian pause constituting a ceasefire may qualify.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.

If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.

Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.

Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.

This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.

Volume

$2,642,800

End Date

Sep 30, 2025

Resolver

0x6A9D222616...

Beware of external links, they may be phishing attacks.

Holders

Beware of external links, they may be phishing attacks.

FlashFire

8h ago

MAGA idiot's sent to the frontlines in Ukraine, wifes whines to vlog followers. Russia lied to him! boohoo boohoooooo! https://youtu.be/AuHyudQO5yE?si=sfl6zbHcgkRPAGHb&t=72

10h ago

Ladies and Gentlemen: 📸 🔥

FlashFire

8h ago

Only ladies.

FlashFire

11h ago

Russian stuff blowing up: Ukrainian attacks target Moscow, train system in Rostov

14h ago

Project Ukraine big failure LOL. Massive missile strikes every single night now. And they strking TCC centres during day, Ukrainians are happy for that one. HAHAHA

FlashFire

12h ago

You are vatnik trash.

FlashFire

14h ago

New EU sanctions on Russia 'unprecedented.' The EU will impose a moving price cap on Russian oil, among other measures, in a bid to shrink Russia's economy. The bloc hopes the latest sanctions package will urge Russia toward a ceasefire with Ukraine.

16h ago

The girl who kept rejecting the old man until she saw his Porsche turned out to be a Ukrainian. It turns out she is 24-year-old Viktoria Shevchenko, originally from Ukraine

16h ago

Lol Ukro defeated TCC gang with a .. SHOWEL. Hes so good with showel he could join the Ruskie army!

FlashFire

17h ago

Memes Banned In Russia - Jokes That Will Land You In Jail https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L8K4s0Q3Vzs

17h ago

📸 🔥

FlashFire

17h ago

You are the neediest slut. For the last time, I refuse to fuck you.

FlashFire

17h ago

Russia’s economy is racing toward collapse and even its own Central Bank is sounding the alarm. Putin’s economic bubble is on the edge of bursting. With soaring national debt, maxed-out credit cards, mortgage defaults, and sky-high interest rates, the Russian financial system is cracking under pressure. Behind the facade of military bonuses and propaganda-fueled optimism lies a crumbling economic reality that the Kremlin refuses to confront. Central Bank’s final warning to the Kremlin went ignored, how patriotic debt became a trap, and how war has turned into the only functioning industry left. As defense spending explodes and real incomes plummet, the illusion of stability is collapsing. With Russia burning through oil revenues and borrowing to fund an unsustainable war, the crash is no longer a question of if... but when.

dawid4ik

17h ago

https://www.instagram.com/reel/DMTIqs8Mz6l/?igsh=a2pvY2s0NTk2YWFx Zelensky proposed negotiations with the Russians next week.

dawid4ik

17h ago

https://www.instagram.com/reel/DMTIqs8Mz6l/?igsh=a2pvY2s0NTk2YWFx

dawid4ik

17h ago

Zelensky proposed negotiations with the Russians next week.

19h ago

Does this resolve to Yes if either side surrenders?

19h ago

Can't promise you but I'm betting yes because of that

1d ago

They just give away my money to the corrupt Nazis in Lviv and Kiev

FlashFire

20h ago

Rubles are not real money.

1d ago

Remember, never ever hapens :D

FlashFire

20h ago

happens

FlashFire

1d ago

A U.S. father who moved to Russia in a bid to protect his kids from LGBTQ "indoctrination" is feeling buyer's remorse after he was reportedly sent to the front lines in the invasion of Ukraine despite assurances he wouldn't see combat. Derek Huffman is a 46-year-old Texas expatriate and vlogger. He moved his wife and three kids to Russia this year seeking more "traditional values." Huffman sought Russian citizenship and joined the country's military with the expectation of non-combat work such as welding. Instead, The Daily Beast reported Friday feels he is being “thrown to the wolves” and was tricked intp being sent to the front lines. That's according to his wife, DeAnna, who asked for prayers in a video shared on Reddit.

FlashFire

1d ago

Kaliningrad is Russia’s heavily fortified enclave in the heart of NATO territory. It's strategically vital, bristling with missiles, and potentially nuclear-armed. Now, a top U.S. General says NATO could seize it in hours. How the Eastern Flank Deterrence Line, advanced AI systems like Project Maven, and new interoperable NATO weapons platforms could allow for the rapid neutralization of Kaliningrad’s defenses. But taking Kaliningrad wouldn’t just alter the security balance in Europe, it could trigger a nuclear response from Russia. From its Teutonic origins to modern militarization, why this tiny region might be the flashpoint of the next global crisis.

2d ago

It wasn't right to cancel POA he might have appeared rough and he said he would do these horrible things to me that I can't even wright here but I was living in constant fear that this brute would find me and implement his plan, that would have been just nasty don't want to think too much about it

FlashFire

2d ago

Russia’s 41st Combined Arms Army has suffered catastrophic losses... over 27,000 troops killed, missing, or deserted according to shocking new leaked documents. Ukraine’s psychological warfare and battlefield strategy have decimated Russia’s forces near Pokrovsk, a critical logistics hub and expose Putin's use of convict soldiers, the economic collapse fueled by wartime spending, and the growing instability brewing inside the Russian Federation.

2d ago

Or we could just stop supporting Nazis..

2d ago

Latvian top general visits Ukrainian Nazi headquarters: A delegation headed by the Commander-in-Chief of the National Armed Forces of the Latvian Republic, Major General Caspar Pudans, visited the Third Army Corps ( former Azov Battalion) and units of unmanned the third separate assault brigade.

FlashFire

2d ago

Latvia, another country on the border of Russia that Putin wants to steal.

FlashFire

2d ago

The Baltic countries are leaving the international treaty banning landmines so that they can landmine their borders with Russia. Putin is trash and his eventual death will be celebrated throughout the world.

FlashFire

2d ago

Russia Threatens 'Preemptive Strikes' Against NATO

2d ago

📸 🔥 - FlashFire

2d ago

🍑 🌊 🔥

FlashFire

2d ago

Russia thought it had wiped out Ukraine’s Bradley Fighting Vehicles in a massive bombing campaign, but they were dead wrong. Ukrainian forces turned the tables near Sumy’s front lines, launching a devastating counterattack with Western-supplied vehicles that forced Russian troops to retreat. Russia’s mounting equipment losses have left its soldiers advancing on bikes and foot, why its once-deadly bombing runs are now faltering, and how Ukraine’s smart use of tech and tactics is beginning to shift the balance. This is one big mistake and the heavy price Russia paid for it.

3d ago

Odessa. TCC A woman tried to pull a man out of the "bus" but she was dragged along the asphalt. ✨There is no popular resistance. They pull them out one by one like chickens in a chicken coop. And the neighbors keep sitting further. Residents of Ukraine, has no one among you wondered where your forcibly mobilized earlier fellow citizens have gone? That's right. They died at the front. Because they did not resist the busification. ✨✨ Such is the fate of a "sovereign, independent nation" who puts their trust in America.

3d ago

Body on the asphalt Be careful what you ask for She think I'm an asshole

3d ago

Ukronazis gonna Nazi

3d ago

It's no fun Scrooge should apologize or otherwise I maybe stop commenting hete

3d ago

Scrooge McNazi threatened me so I can't even express myself freely anymore

FlashFire

3d ago

That is very weak and means you're a bitch...

3d ago

Fuc* Ukrain* wit* * sic* dic*!!!

FlashFire

3d ago

Self-censorship is weakness. No real man does it...

FlashFire

3d ago

Russia is scraping the bottom of the barrel, literally. Russia’s once-feared tank force has crumbled to the point of reviving 50-year-old Soviet T-72A tanks from scrapyards and storage bases. Through satellite imagery and OSINT insights, we uncover the scale of Russia’s equipment crisis, what makes these outdated tanks so vulnerable in modern warfare, and why this move signals growing desperation inside the Kremlin. With Ukraine’s advanced weaponry and smarter battlefield strategy, these ancient machines stand little chance and their return may be more of a liability than an asset.

Cooked-Vignette

3d ago

why are these two dudes schizopoasting in here to such a degree

3d ago

What's the deal with TCC kidnapping men walking their doggy and leave dog in the street

FlashFire

3d ago

Russians eat the dogs. #Poverty

3d ago

Not at all, Zelensky gets absolutely furious when he hears about cocaine being destroyed

3d ago

Russian cusrom destroyed some cocaine and next day ukrodrones attack civilians. Coincidence?

FlashFire

3d ago

Russia attacks civilians and helped Assad sell Captagon.

FlashFire

3d ago

Putin fears one thing above all: American power. Not diplomacy, not influence; raw military strength. We uncover why the Russian president goes silent when U.S. forces show up, how Zelenskyy uses that fear to push for peace, and what long-range U.S. weapons could mean for the war. From missile deals to Trump’s 50-day ultimatum, discover why America remains Putin’s greatest fear; and the key to ending the war in Ukraine.

3d ago

Stupid entitled beggars

3d ago

The Ukraine could receive up to 88 billion euros from the EU over a seven year period starting from 2028. This sum is part of a new budget plan that the European commission should examine today, according to Politico. PLZ RUSSIA DESTROY UKRAINE ASAP!!!

FlashFire

3d ago

You are literally begging... Stupid? CHECK. Entitled? CHECK. Begging? CHECK.

3d ago

Feeling confused by the new accounts that talk about Trump or republicans 24/7 here? Don't be fooled by the libtard "POA" (President of Antifa). He created these fake accounts - UnbeatableMenace, Phantom99, Bigfootz, HellKat, and FlashFire. He's been banned for over 14 times for spamming the chats. Just watch how he talks to himself with his fake accounts by posting lies about President Trump and republicans. He gives his posts "likes". That's how most of his comments have 4 likes or so. Remember he works here and gets paid for his spamming. Report the spammer and get all his accounts banned!

Fklibtards

3d ago

Would u f uck him in the a$$.?? With your meat??

3d ago

Check this chat out to see how POA ( FlashFire) tolks to himself whole day long. https://polymarket.com/event/new-york-city-mayoral-election?tid=1752707395616